While government subsidies for postsecondary education have declined notably over time in the U.S., driven by cuts in state support for state-run public institutions, many other OECD countries have seen recent cuts in education subsidies as well. Those include Spain, Ireland, Canada and Australia.
OECD data do suggest a partial tradeoff between public subsidies for higher education and the share of the public that earns bachelor’s degrees, meaning countries that offer greater subsides may do less to promote open access. In Figure 1, I have combined data from two sets of OECD statistics—the fraction of the population expected to complete a bachelor’s degree or equivalent over a lifetime (based on the age profile of 2016 graduates relative to each country’s population distribution) and the fraction of higher education costs that are paid by private sources (mainly households, including borrowed funds). The graph shows a positive correlation between countries’ fraction of private higher education funding and the attainment of bachelor’s degrees. In other words, when people have to pay a larger share of their own college expenses, access to college degrees is somewhat broader on average.
On the other hand, the U.S. falls below the trend line, meaning that our expected bachelor’s completion rate of 40 percent is lower than our share of private tuition burden (about 63 percent) would predict. Countries above the trendline provide aspirational datapoints. For instance, several Northern European countries in the top left quadrant of the graph maintain both high public subsidies and high attainment. This suggests that keeping tuition burdens low for families has not broadly curtailed students’ access to college in those countries.
Meanwhile, students should know that the economic benefits associated with a college degree remain strong. International comparisons suggest they are particularly strong in the U.S., despite our high average costs. However, in choosing whether to borrow for college and how much, students should always remember that the economic benefits of their tuition investment depend mightily on the academic major they choose.
In making decisions about how to pay for higher education, students and policymakers alike should bear one rule in mind: Rely on the best available data, not on anecdote.
Jennifer L. Steele is an Associate Professor in the School of Education at American University in Washington, DC, where she studies the economics of education.